Minority Report

South Bend, WA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Pacific County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 62°   Low 52°   Rain 40%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 81 points, 3 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 97% against a group average of 40%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—51°97%
US model (GFS)62°53°16%
German model (ICON)62°51°18%
Canadian model (GEM)61°51°30%
The average62°52°40%

Friday, November 13

High 57°   Low 50°   Rain 98%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 9 points, 4 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°48°99%
US model (GFS)56°49°91%
German model (ICON)58°52°100%
Canadian model (GEM)56°50°100%
The average57°50°98%

Saturday, November 14

High 55°   Low 49°   Rain 100%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°48°100%
US model (GFS)55°49°100%
German model (ICON)55°52°99%
Canadian model (GEM)56°49°100%
The average55°49°100%

Sunday, November 15

High 54°   Low 45°   Rain 100%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°43°99%
US model (GFS)54°44°100%
German model (ICON)55°47°99%
Canadian model (GEM)54°48°100%
The average54°45°100%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.