Minority Report

South Central Connecticut Planning Region, CT — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of South Central Connecticut Planning Region.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 57°   Low 45°   Rain 94%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 11 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—40°97%
US model (GFS)57°44°91%
European model (ECMWF)56°47°100%
German model (ICON)56°48°93%
Canadian model (GEM)57°44°89%
The average57°45°94%

Friday, November 13

High 47°   Low 37°   Rain 94%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 23 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 77% against a group average of 94%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°31°91%
US model (GFS)46°37°77%
European model (ECMWF)48°39°100%
German model (ICON)48°39°100%
Canadian model (GEM)47°37°100%
The average47°37°94%

Saturday, November 14

High 46°   Low 35°   Rain 9%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 21 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 23% against a group average of 9%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°31°2%
US model (GFS)45°35°8%
European model (ECMWF)46°36°5%
German model (ICON)46°38°23%
Canadian model (GEM)44°35°6%
The average46°35°9%

Sunday, November 15

High 48°   Low 37°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°33°0%
US model (GFS)47°38°0%
European model (ECMWF)47°38°0%
German model (ICON)48°39°0%
Canadian model (GEM)47°37°0%
The average48°37°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.