Minority Report

Southeastern Connecticut Planning Region, CT — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Southeastern Connecticut Planning Region.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 56°   Low 41°   Rain 90%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 13 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—40°95%
US model (GFS)57°42°85%
European model (ECMWF)57°41°96%
German model (ICON)54°44°83%
Canadian model (GEM)56°40°91%
The average56°41°90%

Friday, November 13

High 46°   Low 35°   Rain 89%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 9 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°28°89%
US model (GFS)45°37°85%
European model (ECMWF)46°38°94%
German model (ICON)47°37°88%
Canadian model (GEM)47°36°91%
The average46°35°89%

Saturday, November 14

High 45°   Low 32°   Rain 8%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 12 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°28°4%
US model (GFS)44°34°3%
European model (ECMWF)46°31°5%
German model (ICON)45°34°15%
Canadian model (GEM)43°34°14%
The average45°32°8%

Sunday, November 15

High 48°   Low 34°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°31°0%
US model (GFS)46°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)47°34°0%
German model (ICON)47°35°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°35°0%
The average48°34°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.