Minority Report

Sparta, TN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of White County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 58°   Low 40°   Rain 57%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 99 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 1% against a group average of 57%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—30°1%
US model (GFS)60°44°34%
European model (ECMWF)58°41°90%
German model (ICON)59°43°58%
Canadian model (GEM)57°41°100%
The average58°40°57%

Friday, November 13

High 45°   Low 33°   Rain 20%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 54 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 57% against a group average of 20%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°29°11%
US model (GFS)44°35°3%
European model (ECMWF)44°37°57%
German model (ICON)46°33°3%
Canadian model (GEM)43°32°27%
The average45°33°20%

Saturday, November 14

High 48°   Low 29°   Rain 8%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 29 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 29% against a group average of 8%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°25°0%
US model (GFS)48°32°1%
European model (ECMWF)47°33°8%
German model (ICON)50°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)47°26°29%
The average48°29°8%

Sunday, November 15

High 53°   Low 28°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°27°1%
US model (GFS)54°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)52°32°0%
German model (ICON)55°25°0%
Canadian model (GEM)52°24°0%
The average53°28°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.