Minority Report

Spartanburg, SC — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Spartanburg County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 68°   Low 45°   Rain 17%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 37 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 37% against a group average of 17%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—39°0%
US model (GFS)70°48°30%
European model (ECMWF)65°49°37%
German model (ICON)66°44°5%
Canadian model (GEM)70°45°14%
The average68°45°17%

Friday, November 13

High 54°   Low 38°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°34°0%
US model (GFS)52°39°2%
European model (ECMWF)52°43°2%
German model (ICON)54°36°0%
Canadian model (GEM)53°40°0%
The average54°38°1%

Saturday, November 14

High 52°   Low 33°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°30°0%
US model (GFS)52°34°2%
European model (ECMWF)51°39°1%
German model (ICON)52°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)53°31°0%
The average52°33°1%

Sunday, November 15

High 55°   Low 31°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°33°0%
US model (GFS)55°36°0%
European model (ECMWF)54°34°0%
German model (ICON)55°27°0%
Canadian model (GEM)54°25°0%
The average55°31°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.