Minority Report

Spearman, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Hansford County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 72°   Low 40°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—38°0%
US model (GFS)73°40°0%
European model (ECMWF)70°43°0%
German model (ICON)72°42°0%
Canadian model (GEM)74°39°0%
The average72°40°0%

Friday, November 13

High 59°   Low 38°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service59°37°3%
US model (GFS)61°41°0%
European model (ECMWF)60°40°0%
German model (ICON)57°37°0%
Canadian model (GEM)60°35°0%
The average59°38°1%

Saturday, November 14

High 47°   Low 39°   Rain 92%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 15 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°38°91%
US model (GFS)50°36°93%
European model (ECMWF)45°42°100%
German model (ICON)47°40°85%
Canadian model (GEM)43°39°91%
The average47°39°92%

Sunday, November 15

High 45°   Low 39°   Rain 74%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 70 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 24% against a group average of 74%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°35°24%
US model (GFS)49°41°93%
European model (ECMWF)43°40°94%
German model (ICON)43°41°70%
Canadian model (GEM)42°37°90%
The average45°39°74%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.