Spencer, IN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Owen County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 51° Low 38° Rain 52%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 70 points, 3 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 34° | 18% |
| US model (GFS) | 51° | 38° | 32% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 52° | 40° | 88% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 51° | 38° | 71% |
| The average | 51° | 38° | 52% |
High 44° Low 33° Rain 23%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 29 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 45° | 30° | 23% |
| US model (GFS) | 44° | 34° | 8% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 46° | 36° | 37% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 41° | 34° | 24% |
| The average | 44° | 33° | 23% |
High 48° Low 28° Rain 0%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 48° | 26° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 49° | 30° | 1% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 48° | 30° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 48° | 27° | 0% |
| The average | 48° | 28° | 0% |
High 51° Low 29° Rain 0%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 52° | 28° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 52° | 32° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 50° | 30° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 49° | 25° | 0% |
| The average | 51° | 29° | 0% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.