Spencer, TN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Van Buren County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 56° Low 38° Rain 56%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 87 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 31° | 3% |
| US model (GFS) | 58° | 40° | 45% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 55° | 39° | 82% |
| German model (ICON) | 57° | 39° | 60% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 55° | 39° | 90% |
| The average | 56° | 38° | 56% |
High 41° Low 32° Rain 20%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 66 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 43° | 30° | 12% |
| US model (GFS) | 40° | 33° | 3% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 39° | 34° | 69% |
| German model (ICON) | 43° | 31° | 3% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 40° | 33° | 11% |
| The average | 41° | 32° | 20% |
High 45° Low 29° Rain 10%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 33 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 46° | 27° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 45° | 31° | 1% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 44° | 31° | 33% |
| German model (ICON) | 46° | 30° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 44° | 26° | 15% |
| The average | 45° | 29° | 10% |
High 51° Low 28° Rain 0%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 52° | 30° | 1% |
| US model (GFS) | 51° | 29° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 50° | 29° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 51° | 28° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 50° | 24° | 0% |
| The average | 51° | 28° | 0% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.