Minority Report

Spotsylvania, VA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Spotsylvania County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 67°   Low 44°   Rain 24%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 60 points, 3 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 65% against a group average of 24%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—43°5%
US model (GFS)68°45°23%
German model (ICON)65°44°65%
Canadian model (GEM)68°45°5%
The average67°44°24%

Friday, November 13

High 51°   Low 36°   Rain 4%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 6 points, 4 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°32°5%
US model (GFS)50°36°3%
German model (ICON)51°36°8%
Canadian model (GEM)51°38°2%
The average51°36°4%

Saturday, November 14

High 51°   Low 32°   Rain 2%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 5 points, 4 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°32°2%
US model (GFS)51°31°2%
German model (ICON)50°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)51°36°5%
The average51°32°2%

Sunday, November 15

High 54°   Low 32°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°33°0%
US model (GFS)52°33°0%
German model (ICON)54°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)54°32°0%
The average54°32°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.