Minority Report

Springfield, CO — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Baca County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 68°   Low 37°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—35°0%
US model (GFS)68°37°0%
European model (ECMWF)67°39°0%
German model (ICON)68°36°0%
Canadian model (GEM)68°38°0%
The average68°37°0%

Friday, November 13

High 61°   Low 37°   Rain 3%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 17 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 17% against a group average of 3%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service62°41°17%
US model (GFS)65°38°0%
European model (ECMWF)59°39°0%
German model (ICON)60°36°0%
Canadian model (GEM)60°33°0%
The average61°37°3%

Saturday, November 14

High 47°   Low 38°   Rain 73%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 43 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 98% against a group average of 73%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°37°79%
US model (GFS)47°37°68%
European model (ECMWF)45°39°98%
German model (ICON)46°40°55%
Canadian model (GEM)44°36°67%
The average47°38°73%

Sunday, November 15

High 45°   Low 38°   Rain 54%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 77 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 11% against a group average of 54%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°34°11%
US model (GFS)44°41°46%
European model (ECMWF)45°38°88%
German model (ICON)44°40°45%
Canadian model (GEM)43°35°82%
The average45°38°54%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.