Minority Report

Springfield, KY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Washington County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 55°   Low 42°   Rain 69%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 74 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 26% against a group average of 69%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—38°26%
US model (GFS)56°43°43%
European model (ECMWF)54°43°98%
German model (ICON)56°43°80%
Canadian model (GEM)55°42°100%
The average55°42°69%

Friday, November 13

High 45°   Low 35°   Rain 61%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 56 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 33% against a group average of 61%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°30°64%
US model (GFS)46°34°33%
European model (ECMWF)44°37°89%
German model (ICON)45°36°50%
Canadian model (GEM)45°37°70%
The average45°35°61%

Saturday, November 14

High 47°   Low 29°   Rain 2%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 5 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°27°0%
US model (GFS)48°31°2%
European model (ECMWF)46°30°0%
German model (ICON)46°32°5%
Canadian model (GEM)46°25°5%
The average47°29°2%

Sunday, November 15

High 50°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°27°0%
US model (GFS)51°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)49°34°0%
German model (ICON)52°36°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°21°0%
The average50°30°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.