Minority Report

Springfield, TN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Robertson County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 59°   Low 38°   Rain 16%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 43 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 43% against a group average of 16%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—31°0%
US model (GFS)59°40°7%
European model (ECMWF)58°40°12%
German model (ICON)58°40°43%
Canadian model (GEM)59°38°19%
The average59°38°16%

Friday, November 13

High 46°   Low 32°   Rain 2%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°28°1%
US model (GFS)44°34°2%
European model (ECMWF)45°37°2%
German model (ICON)45°32°3%
Canadian model (GEM)47°30°0%
The average46°32°2%

Saturday, November 14

High 50°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°26°0%
US model (GFS)49°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)48°32°0%
German model (ICON)50°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)50°27°0%
The average50°30°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 53°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°29°1%
US model (GFS)53°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)52°31°0%
German model (ICON)55°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)52°20°0%
The average53°30°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.