Minority Report

St. Clair County, AL — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of St. Clair County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 64°   Low 46°   Rain 37%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 92 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 92% against a group average of 37%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—36°0%
US model (GFS)65°47°33%
European model (ECMWF)64°48°92%
German model (ICON)64°48°15%
Canadian model (GEM)64°49°43%
The average64°46°37%

Friday, November 13

High 51°   Low 36°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°32°0%
US model (GFS)50°36°0%
European model (ECMWF)51°38°0%
German model (ICON)53°35°0%
Canadian model (GEM)51°38°0%
The average51°36°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 53°   Low 32°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°30°0%
US model (GFS)53°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)52°35°0%
German model (ICON)54°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)52°33°0%
The average53°32°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 55°   Low 32°   Rain 1%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°33°2%
US model (GFS)55°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)53°33°0%
German model (ICON)55°31°3%
Canadian model (GEM)53°30°0%
The average55°32°1%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.