Stafford, VA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Stafford County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 67° Low 43° Rain 38%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 66 points, 3 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 43° | 5% |
| US model (GFS) | 67° | 43° | 30% |
| German model (ICON) | 65° | 47° | 45% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 69° | 40° | 71% |
| The average | 67° | 43° | 38% |
High 50° Low 36° Rain 10%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 11 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 52° | 33° | 6% |
| US model (GFS) | 49° | 35° | 4% |
| German model (ICON) | 50° | 39° | 15% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 51° | 38° | 14% |
| The average | 50° | 36° | 10% |
High 51° Low 34° Rain 4%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 8 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 51° | 33° | 2% |
| US model (GFS) | 51° | 31° | 2% |
| German model (ICON) | 51° | 36° | 3% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 50° | 36° | 10% |
| The average | 51° | 34° | 4% |
High 53° Low 34° Rain 0%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 55° | 33° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 51° | 34° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 54° | 35° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 52° | 32° | 0% |
| The average | 53° | 34° | 0% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.