Minority Report

Stanford, KY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Lincoln County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 55°   Low 41°   Rain 77%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 80 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 18% against a group average of 77%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—36°18%
US model (GFS)54°42°74%
European model (ECMWF)55°41°98%
German model (ICON)56°44°98%
Canadian model (GEM)54°41°95%
The average55°41°77%

Friday, November 13

High 43°   Low 34°   Rain 69%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 56 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 100% against a group average of 69%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°29°67%
US model (GFS)42°34°44%
European model (ECMWF)44°37°100%
German model (ICON)44°37°63%
Canadian model (GEM)42°36°71%
The average43°34°69%

Saturday, November 14

High 45°   Low 29°   Rain 8%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 25 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 25% against a group average of 8%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°27°0%
US model (GFS)46°32°2%
European model (ECMWF)45°30°0%
German model (ICON)45°32°25%
Canadian model (GEM)44°26°13%
The average45°29°8%

Sunday, November 15

High 49°   Low 32°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°27°0%
US model (GFS)49°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)48°37°0%
German model (ICON)52°38°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°24°0%
The average49°32°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.