Minority Report

Stanton County, KS — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Stanton County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 70°   Low 38°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—37°0%
US model (GFS)70°37°0%
European model (ECMWF)70°39°0%
German model (ICON)69°37°0%
Canadian model (GEM)70°39°0%
The average70°38°0%

Friday, November 13

High 58°   Low 38°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 4 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service59°39°4%
US model (GFS)61°38°0%
European model (ECMWF)58°39°0%
German model (ICON)55°40°0%
Canadian model (GEM)58°32°0%
The average58°38°1%

Saturday, November 14

High 47°   Low 39°   Rain 89%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 20 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 100% against a group average of 89%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°37°93%
US model (GFS)49°35°89%
European model (ECMWF)46°41°100%
German model (ICON)47°41°80%
Canadian model (GEM)43°39°85%
The average47°39°89%

Sunday, November 15

High 45°   Low 39°   Rain 75%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 85 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 13% against a group average of 75%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°36°13%
US model (GFS)45°41°89%
European model (ECMWF)46°40°98%
German model (ICON)42°41°83%
Canadian model (GEM)43°36°91%
The average45°39°75%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.