Minority Report

Stanton, KY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Powell County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 55°   Low 42°   Rain 85%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 59 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 41% against a group average of 85%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—39°41%
US model (GFS)54°42°92%
European model (ECMWF)54°43°100%
German model (ICON)56°45°100%
Canadian model (GEM)55°42°91%
The average55°42°85%

Friday, November 13

High 45°   Low 35°   Rain 64%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 49 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 39% against a group average of 64%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°30°61%
US model (GFS)46°33°39%
European model (ECMWF)45°36°88%
German model (ICON)45°39°63%
Canadian model (GEM)43°37°67%
The average45°35°64%

Saturday, November 14

High 46°   Low 33°   Rain 7%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 20 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 20% against a group average of 7%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°31°0%
US model (GFS)47°32°2%
European model (ECMWF)47°34°4%
German model (ICON)45°35°20%
Canadian model (GEM)46°31°10%
The average46°33°7%

Sunday, November 15

High 49°   Low 34°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 6 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°30°0%
US model (GFS)48°38°0%
European model (ECMWF)48°37°6%
German model (ICON)53°36°0%
Canadian model (GEM)47°27°0%
The average49°34°1%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.