Minority Report

Stanton, MI — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Montcalm County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 44°   Low 34°   Rain 80%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 81 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 19% against a group average of 80%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—31°19%
US model (GFS)45°35°84%
European model (ECMWF)44°35°100%
German model (ICON)43°35°98%
Canadian model (GEM)43°34°99%
The average44°34°80%

Friday, November 13

High 40°   Low 30°   Rain 13%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 17 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 24% against a group average of 13%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service40°28°13%
US model (GFS)39°32°8%
European model (ECMWF)41°29°24%
German model (ICON)40°31°15%
Canadian model (GEM)38°31°7%
The average40°30°13%

Saturday, November 14

High 43°   Low 31°   Rain 2%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 4 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°32°3%
US model (GFS)41°32°3%
European model (ECMWF)42°30°4%
German model (ICON)46°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)43°31°0%
The average43°31°2%

Sunday, November 15

High 44°   Low 33°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°29°1%
US model (GFS)45°36°0%
European model (ECMWF)44°34°0%
German model (ICON)45°36°0%
Canadian model (GEM)43°32°0%
The average44°33°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.