Minority Report

Stanton, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Martin County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 71°   Low 47°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—49°0%
US model (GFS)72°49°0%
European model (ECMWF)71°46°0%
German model (ICON)71°45°0%
Canadian model (GEM)72°44°0%
The average71°47°0%

Friday, November 13

High 70°   Low 46°   Rain 9%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 30 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 30% against a group average of 9%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service69°52°30%
US model (GFS)70°47°6%
European model (ECMWF)69°45°0%
German model (ICON)69°45°3%
Canadian model (GEM)71°40°6%
The average70°46°9%

Saturday, November 14

High 66°   Low 52°   Rain 73%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 48 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 100% against a group average of 73%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service63°53°52%
US model (GFS)65°50°64%
European model (ECMWF)69°52°100%
German model (ICON)66°54°75%
Canadian model (GEM)68°51°72%
The average66°52°73%

Sunday, November 15

High 63°   Low 46°   Rain 12%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 9°, rain spread 22 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 24% against a group average of 12%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service62°46°2%
US model (GFS)68°50°16%
European model (ECMWF)58°46°24%
German model (ICON)66°46°13%
Canadian model (GEM)63°43°5%
The average63°46°12%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.