Minority Report

Stapleton, NE — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Logan County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 48°   Low 28°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—26°0%
US model (GFS)48°28°1%
European model (ECMWF)48°31°0%
German model (ICON)45°28°0%
Canadian model (GEM)51°29°0%
The average48°28°0%

Friday, November 13

High 48°   Low 31°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°25°0%
US model (GFS)44°35°0%
European model (ECMWF)49°32°0%
German model (ICON)48°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)51°27°0%
The average48°31°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 45°   Low 29°   Rain 6%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 7 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°28°7%
US model (GFS)48°28°3%
European model (ECMWF)42°32°2%
German model (ICON)46°30°7%
Canadian model (GEM)46°29°9%
The average45°29°6%

Sunday, November 15

High 48°   Low 33°   Rain 5%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 11 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°30°1%
US model (GFS)46°38°3%
European model (ECMWF)53°35°0%
German model (ICON)46°35°8%
Canadian model (GEM)49°29°11%
The average48°33°5%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.