Staten Island, NY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Richmond County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 60° Low 48° Rain 93%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 1°, rain spread 21 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 44° | 79% |
| US model (GFS) | 60° | 47° | 86% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 61° | 49° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 60° | 49° | 100% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 61° | 49° | 100% |
| The average | 60° | 48° | 93% |
High 48° Low 36° Rain 97%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 5 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 46° | 38° | 95% |
| US model (GFS) | 48° | 37° | 96% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 50° | 36° | 98% |
| German model (ICON) | 49° | 38° | 98% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 49° | 32° | 100% |
| The average | 48° | 36° | 97% |
High 46° Low 35° Rain 22%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 50 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 47° | 38° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 45° | 34° | 8% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 46° | 35° | 10% |
| German model (ICON) | 46° | 36° | 50% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 45° | 33° | 41% |
| The average | 46° | 35° | 22% |
High 48° Low 38° Rain 0%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 50° | 38° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 47° | 40° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 48° | 38° | 2% |
| German model (ICON) | 49° | 38° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 47° | 36° | 0% |
| The average | 48° | 38° | 0% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.