Minority Report

Statesville, NC — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Iredell County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 66°   Low 43°   Rain 15%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 1°, rain spread 29 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 30% against a group average of 15%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—38°1%
US model (GFS)67°46°16%
European model (ECMWF)66°48°12%
German model (ICON)66°40°30%
Canadian model (GEM)65°41°14%
The average66°43°15%

Friday, November 13

High 54°   Low 37°   Rain 10%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 21 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 21% against a group average of 10%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°32°6%
US model (GFS)52°36°21%
European model (ECMWF)53°42°10%
German model (ICON)55°36°15%
Canadian model (GEM)56°38°0%
The average54°37°10%

Saturday, November 14

High 51°   Low 31°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°29°0%
US model (GFS)51°32°2%
European model (ECMWF)50°36°0%
German model (ICON)50°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)52°29°0%
The average51°31°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 55°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°31°0%
US model (GFS)54°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)56°33°0%
German model (ICON)56°28°0%
Canadian model (GEM)54°24°0%
The average55°30°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.