Minority Report

Staunton, VA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Staunton city.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 60°   Low 42°   Rain 18%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 34 points, 3 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 40% against a group average of 18%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—38°6%
US model (GFS)60°41°10%
German model (ICON)59°44°40%
Canadian model (GEM)62°45°14%
The average60°42°18%

Friday, November 13

High 49°   Low 32°   Rain 3%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 6 points, 4 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°29°6%
US model (GFS)48°31°3%
German model (ICON)49°34°3%
Canadian model (GEM)50°34°0%
The average49°32°3%

Saturday, November 14

High 46°   Low 29°   Rain 2%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 4 points, 4 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°29°4%
US model (GFS)46°27°2%
German model (ICON)45°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)46°28°0%
The average46°29°2%

Sunday, November 15

High 51°   Low 28°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°29°0%
US model (GFS)50°29°0%
German model (ICON)50°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)51°23°0%
The average51°28°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.