Minority Report

Steamboat Springs, CO — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Routt County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 57°   Low 28°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—23°0%
US model (GFS)58°30°0%
European model (ECMWF)57°28°0%
German model (ICON)58°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)56°30°0%
The average57°28°0%

Friday, November 13

High 57°   Low 32°   Rain 3%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 14 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 14% against a group average of 3%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service58°28°14%
US model (GFS)58°38°0%
European model (ECMWF)57°28°0%
German model (ICON)55°35°0%
Canadian model (GEM)56°31°0%
The average57°32°3%

Saturday, November 14

High 50°   Low 33°   Rain 51%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 38 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 29% against a group average of 51%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°29°63%
US model (GFS)48°36°67%
European model (ECMWF)46°30°29%
German model (ICON)51°35°40%
Canadian model (GEM)53°35°57%
The average50°33°51%

Sunday, November 15

High 48°   Low 31°   Rain 28%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 51 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 54% against a group average of 28%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°25°3%
US model (GFS)46°32°29%
European model (ECMWF)50°32°25%
German model (ICON)48°34°30%
Canadian model (GEM)46°31°54%
The average48°31°28%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.