Minority Report

Steele, ND — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Kidder County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 37°   Low 26°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—23°0%
US model (GFS)36°28°0%
European model (ECMWF)37°28°0%
German model (ICON)36°28°0%
Canadian model (GEM)38°24°0%
The average37°26°0%

Friday, November 13

High 38°   Low 24°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service39°24°0%
US model (GFS)33°24°0%
European model (ECMWF)40°28°0%
German model (ICON)39°25°0%
Canadian model (GEM)40°21°0%
The average38°24°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 45°   Low 29°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service42°30°0%
US model (GFS)46°27°0%
European model (ECMWF)43°30°0%
German model (ICON)45°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)47°27°0%
The average45°29°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 52°   Low 36°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°36°0%
US model (GFS)54°38°0%
European model (ECMWF)53°37°0%
German model (ICON)49°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)54°33°0%
The average52°36°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.