Minority Report

Steelville, MO — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Crawford County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 55°   Low 35°   Rain 5%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 19 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 19% against a group average of 5%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—30°0%
US model (GFS)55°35°5%
European model (ECMWF)55°39°2%
German model (ICON)53°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)55°38°19%
The average55°35°5%

Friday, November 13

High 44°   Low 28°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°23°0%
US model (GFS)43°28°0%
European model (ECMWF)44°32°0%
German model (ICON)46°28°0%
Canadian model (GEM)44°31°0%
The average44°28°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 49°   Low 26°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°24°0%
US model (GFS)50°26°0%
European model (ECMWF)48°28°0%
German model (ICON)50°26°0%
Canadian model (GEM)47°25°0%
The average49°26°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 54°   Low 27°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 4 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°26°2%
US model (GFS)56°32°1%
European model (ECMWF)53°29°0%
German model (ICON)56°27°0%
Canadian model (GEM)51°23°4%
The average54°27°1%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.