Minority Report

Sterling City, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Sterling County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 72°   Low 48°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—48°0%
US model (GFS)73°49°0%
European model (ECMWF)71°48°0%
German model (ICON)72°48°0%
Canadian model (GEM)74°45°0%
The average72°48°0%

Friday, November 13

High 71°   Low 48°   Rain 5%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 22 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 22% against a group average of 5%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service71°50°22%
US model (GFS)70°48°1%
European model (ECMWF)70°48°0%
German model (ICON)70°49°0%
Canadian model (GEM)73°45°0%
The average71°48°5%

Saturday, November 14

High 65°   Low 52°   Rain 74%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 42 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 98% against a group average of 74%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service63°53°62%
US model (GFS)63°48°56%
European model (ECMWF)67°52°98%
German model (ICON)65°54°85%
Canadian model (GEM)69°52°71%
The average65°52°74%

Sunday, November 15

High 66°   Low 47°   Rain 38%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 51 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 6% against a group average of 38%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service63°44°6%
US model (GFS)70°51°50%
European model (ECMWF)65°49°57%
German model (ICON)67°48°33%
Canadian model (GEM)66°43°43%
The average66°47°38%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.