Minority Report

Sterling, CO — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Logan County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 67°   Low 35°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—33°0%
US model (GFS)67°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)67°42°0%
German model (ICON)68°36°0%
Canadian model (GEM)67°34°0%
The average67°35°0%

Friday, November 13

High 67°   Low 31°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service66°34°0%
US model (GFS)65°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)66°36°0%
German model (ICON)68°26°0%
Canadian model (GEM)70°27°0%
The average67°31°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 55°   Low 37°   Rain 24%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 22 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 12% against a group average of 24%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°34°20%
US model (GFS)53°30°12%
European model (ECMWF)54°40°25%
German model (ICON)59°40°28%
Canadian model (GEM)54°39°34%
The average55°37°24%

Sunday, November 15

High 54°   Low 37°   Rain 13%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 22 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 2% against a group average of 13%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°30°2%
US model (GFS)52°42°10%
European model (ECMWF)55°40°7%
German model (ICON)59°41°23%
Canadian model (GEM)53°32°24%
The average54°37°13%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.