Minority Report

Steubenville, OH — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Jefferson County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 48°   Low 40°   Rain 76%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 70 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 30% against a group average of 76%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—36°30%
US model (GFS)48°40°67%
European model (ECMWF)48°42°100%
German model (ICON)47°40°100%
Canadian model (GEM)50°43°84%
The average48°40°76%

Friday, November 13

High 44°   Low 33°   Rain 15%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 26 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 33% against a group average of 15%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°32°15%
US model (GFS)42°34°7%
European model (ECMWF)44°32°7%
German model (ICON)43°32°33%
Canadian model (GEM)45°36°14%
The average44°33°15%

Saturday, November 14

High 44°   Low 32°   Rain 32%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 44 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 57% against a group average of 32%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°33°37%
US model (GFS)42°34°25%
European model (ECMWF)44°32°29%
German model (ICON)44°32°13%
Canadian model (GEM)42°31°57%
The average44°32°32%

Sunday, November 15

High 46°   Low 35°   Rain 28%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 44 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 57% against a group average of 28%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°33°13%
US model (GFS)42°34°21%
European model (ECMWF)46°40°25%
German model (ICON)48°37°25%
Canadian model (GEM)44°31°57%
The average46°35°28%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.