Minority Report

Stevens Point, WI — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Portage County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 39°   Low 30°   Rain 5%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 18 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 18% against a group average of 5%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—26°2%
US model (GFS)38°31°1%
European model (ECMWF)39°33°18%
German model (ICON)40°31°3%
Canadian model (GEM)38°30°0%
The average39°30°5%

Friday, November 13

High 40°   Low 29°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service41°25°2%
US model (GFS)38°31°1%
European model (ECMWF)39°28°2%
German model (ICON)40°28°0%
Canadian model (GEM)40°31°0%
The average40°29°1%

Saturday, November 14

High 43°   Low 26°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°24°0%
US model (GFS)43°29°1%
European model (ECMWF)41°28°0%
German model (ICON)42°27°0%
Canadian model (GEM)43°24°0%
The average43°26°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 45°   Low 25°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°24°0%
US model (GFS)44°29°0%
European model (ECMWF)44°27°0%
German model (ICON)46°26°0%
Canadian model (GEM)43°19°0%
The average45°25°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.