Minority Report

Stevenson, WA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Skamania County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 55°   Low 49°   Rain 3%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 10 points, 3 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—48°10%
US model (GFS)55°49°2%
German model (ICON)55°49°0%
Canadian model (GEM)54°50°0%
The average55°49°3%

Friday, November 13

High 55°   Low 49°   Rain 94%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 13 points, 4 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°47°97%
US model (GFS)57°48°85%
German model (ICON)56°50°98%
Canadian model (GEM)54°50°95%
The average55°49°94%

Saturday, November 14

High 55°   Low 48°   Rain 94%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 9°, rain spread 17 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 83% against a group average of 94%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°47°100%
US model (GFS)51°47°95%
German model (ICON)57°52°83%
Canadian model (GEM)60°45°100%
The average55°48°94%

Sunday, November 15

High 53°   Low 45°   Rain 100%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 2 points, 4 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°43°100%
US model (GFS)50°45°98%
German model (ICON)55°46°100%
Canadian model (GEM)55°46°100%
The average53°45°100%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.