Minority Report

Stigler, OK — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Haskell County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 67°   Low 43°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—34°1%
US model (GFS)68°42°0%
European model (ECMWF)67°49°0%
German model (ICON)66°46°0%
Canadian model (GEM)67°44°0%
The average67°43°0%

Friday, November 13

High 55°   Low 37°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°33°0%
US model (GFS)56°38°0%
European model (ECMWF)55°42°0%
German model (ICON)54°36°0%
Canadian model (GEM)56°34°0%
The average55°37°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 57°   Low 35°   Rain 10%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 21 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 24% against a group average of 10%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°36°24%
US model (GFS)60°36°3%
European model (ECMWF)55°39°11%
German model (ICON)57°34°6%
Canadian model (GEM)56°31°8%
The average57°35°10%

Sunday, November 15

High 47°   Low 41°   Rain 69%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 7 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°37°73%
US model (GFS)48°43°67%
European model (ECMWF)47°42°69%
German model (ICON)46°41°66%
Canadian model (GEM)47°41°71%
The average47°41°69%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.