Minority Report

Stockton, KS — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Rooks County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 55°   Low 33°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—29°1%
US model (GFS)54°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)55°35°0%
German model (ICON)54°35°0%
Canadian model (GEM)56°33°0%
The average55°33°0%

Friday, November 13

High 50°   Low 31°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°30°0%
US model (GFS)46°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)50°33°0%
German model (ICON)50°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)51°27°0%
The average50°31°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 48°   Low 32°   Rain 19%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 26 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 36% against a group average of 19%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°34°22%
US model (GFS)51°30°10%
European model (ECMWF)47°34°13%
German model (ICON)50°31°14%
Canadian model (GEM)46°32°36%
The average48°32°19%

Sunday, November 15

High 47°   Low 37°   Rain 36%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 55 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 76% against a group average of 36%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°31°21%
US model (GFS)43°40°24%
European model (ECMWF)50°40°37%
German model (ICON)48°41°23%
Canadian model (GEM)46°36°76%
The average47°37°36%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.