Minority Report

Stockville, NE — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Frontier County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 53°   Low 31°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—26°0%
US model (GFS)55°30°0%
European model (ECMWF)55°34°0%
German model (ICON)52°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)52°35°0%
The average53°31°0%

Friday, November 13

High 50°   Low 31°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°25°0%
US model (GFS)47°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)51°35°0%
German model (ICON)50°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)51°29°0%
The average50°31°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 47°   Low 30°   Rain 15%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 32 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 38% against a group average of 15%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°28°19%
US model (GFS)51°27°7%
European model (ECMWF)44°34°6%
German model (ICON)48°30°7%
Canadian model (GEM)44°31°38%
The average47°30°15%

Sunday, November 15

High 47°   Low 36°   Rain 23%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 45 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 51% against a group average of 23%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°30°6%
US model (GFS)44°39°16%
European model (ECMWF)51°39°16%
German model (ICON)44°36°25%
Canadian model (GEM)48°34°51%
The average47°36°23%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.