Minority Report

Stratford, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Sherman County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 71°   Low 40°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—37°0%
US model (GFS)72°40°0%
European model (ECMWF)70°42°0%
German model (ICON)71°43°0%
Canadian model (GEM)70°39°0%
The average71°40°0%

Friday, November 13

High 62°   Low 38°   Rain 1%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 4 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service62°39°4%
US model (GFS)65°38°0%
European model (ECMWF)61°40°0%
German model (ICON)59°38°0%
Canadian model (GEM)61°33°0%
The average62°38°1%

Saturday, November 14

High 47°   Low 39°   Rain 83%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 27 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 98% against a group average of 83%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°37°83%
US model (GFS)49°38°84%
European model (ECMWF)44°41°98%
German model (ICON)45°42°80%
Canadian model (GEM)44°38°71%
The average47°39°83%

Sunday, November 15

High 45°   Low 38°   Rain 63%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 68 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 15% against a group average of 63%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°34°15%
US model (GFS)49°41°83%
European model (ECMWF)44°40°78%
German model (ICON)44°40°73%
Canadian model (GEM)43°37°67%
The average45°38°63%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.