Minority Report

Stuart, FL — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Martin County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 76°   Low 69°   Rain 58%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 86 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 14% against a group average of 58%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—69°14%
US model (GFS)76°67°55%
European model (ECMWF)78°70°100%
German model (ICON)76°70°68%
Canadian model (GEM)76°68°52%
The average76°69°58%

Friday, November 13

High 73°   Low 59°   Rain 10%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 14 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service76°56°14%
US model (GFS)73°57°5%
European model (ECMWF)72°62°19%
German model (ICON)72°59°5%
Canadian model (GEM)73°60°5%
The average73°59°10%

Saturday, November 14

High 66°   Low 54°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service68°60°0%
US model (GFS)65°50°0%
European model (ECMWF)66°54°0%
German model (ICON)66°51°0%
Canadian model (GEM)67°55°0%
The average66°54°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 75°   Low 60°   Rain 4%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 9 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service76°69°4%
US model (GFS)73°62°4%
European model (ECMWF)74°55°9%
German model (ICON)74°58°0%
Canadian model (GEM)75°56°1%
The average75°60°4%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.