Minority Report

Sublette, KS — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Haskell County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 69°   Low 38°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—35°0%
US model (GFS)70°38°0%
European model (ECMWF)67°41°0%
German model (ICON)70°40°0%
Canadian model (GEM)70°38°0%
The average69°38°0%

Friday, November 13

High 56°   Low 35°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 5 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°34°5%
US model (GFS)57°36°0%
European model (ECMWF)55°37°0%
German model (ICON)53°35°0%
Canadian model (GEM)57°32°0%
The average56°35°1%

Saturday, November 14

High 48°   Low 36°   Rain 91%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 15 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°36°95%
US model (GFS)51°32°92%
European model (ECMWF)45°38°97%
German model (ICON)50°37°82%
Canadian model (GEM)46°37°89%
The average48°36°91%

Sunday, November 15

High 44°   Low 38°   Rain 77%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 81 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 19% against a group average of 77%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°34°19%
US model (GFS)44°40°92%
European model (ECMWF)45°39°100%
German model (ICON)42°39°83%
Canadian model (GEM)42°37°91%
The average44°38°77%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.