Minority Report

Sulphur, OK — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Murray County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 72°   Low 44°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—40°1%
US model (GFS)71°46°0%
European model (ECMWF)71°46°0%
German model (ICON)71°46°0%
Canadian model (GEM)73°44°0%
The average72°44°0%

Friday, November 13

High 59°   Low 42°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service59°39°0%
US model (GFS)60°44°0%
European model (ECMWF)59°44°0%
German model (ICON)58°40°0%
Canadian model (GEM)60°43°0%
The average59°42°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 57°   Low 41°   Rain 62%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 32 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 44% against a group average of 62%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service58°39°74%
US model (GFS)58°39°44%
European model (ECMWF)56°43°76%
German model (ICON)55°41°72%
Canadian model (GEM)55°41°45%
The average57°41°62%

Sunday, November 15

High 46°   Low 40°   Rain 95%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 15 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 85% against a group average of 95%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°39°93%
US model (GFS)49°40°85%
European model (ECMWF)44°42°98%
German model (ICON)44°41°100%
Canadian model (GEM)42°39°100%
The average46°40°95%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.