Minority Report

Sulphur Springs, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Hopkins County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 75°   Low 48°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—44°1%
US model (GFS)76°49°0%
European model (ECMWF)74°51°0%
German model (ICON)74°49°0%
Canadian model (GEM)76°49°0%
The average75°48°0%

Friday, November 13

High 64°   Low 45°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service65°41°1%
US model (GFS)64°47°0%
European model (ECMWF)62°47°0%
German model (ICON)63°44°0%
Canadian model (GEM)67°46°0%
The average64°45°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 61°   Low 42°   Rain 24%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 43 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 2% against a group average of 24%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service61°43°45%
US model (GFS)62°41°11%
European model (ECMWF)60°43°29%
German model (ICON)59°40°31%
Canadian model (GEM)61°44°2%
The average61°42°24%

Sunday, November 15

High 51°   Low 42°   Rain 88%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 25 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 73% against a group average of 88%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°42°92%
US model (GFS)53°42°73%
European model (ECMWF)50°44°98%
German model (ICON)51°42°95%
Canadian model (GEM)52°42°82%
The average51°42°88%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.