Minority Report

Summersville, WV — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Nicholas County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 49°   Low 38°   Rain 94%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 14 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—30°86%
US model (GFS)48°40°86%
European model (ECMWF)50°40°100%
German model (ICON)50°39°100%
Canadian model (GEM)48°40°100%
The average49°38°94%

Friday, November 13

High 42°   Low 32°   Rain 83%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 44 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 56% against a group average of 83%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service42°26°62%
US model (GFS)40°33°56%
European model (ECMWF)43°34°100%
German model (ICON)41°33°98%
Canadian model (GEM)43°35°100%
The average42°32°83%

Saturday, November 14

High 38°   Low 30°   Rain 48%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 47 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 16% against a group average of 48%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service39°26°43%
US model (GFS)38°28°16%
European model (ECMWF)41°30°63%
German model (ICON)38°32°56%
Canadian model (GEM)36°32°62%
The average38°30°48%

Sunday, November 15

High 41°   Low 30°   Rain 10%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 14 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service42°26°9%
US model (GFS)41°33°3%
European model (ECMWF)41°30°17%
German model (ICON)43°32°8%
Canadian model (GEM)39°30°14%
The average41°30°10%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.