Minority Report

Sundance, WY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Crook County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 62°   Low 39°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—38°0%
US model (GFS)63°40°0%
European model (ECMWF)62°43°0%
German model (ICON)62°38°0%
Canadian model (GEM)62°37°0%
The average62°39°0%

Friday, November 13

High 62°   Low 42°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service61°41°0%
US model (GFS)62°43°0%
European model (ECMWF)62°44°0%
German model (ICON)61°44°0%
Canadian model (GEM)63°37°0%
The average62°42°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 54°   Low 38°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°36°0%
US model (GFS)52°40°0%
European model (ECMWF)51°40°0%
German model (ICON)59°42°0%
Canadian model (GEM)53°35°0%
The average54°38°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 54°   Low 38°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°38°0%
US model (GFS)52°38°1%
European model (ECMWF)54°39°0%
German model (ICON)55°38°0%
Canadian model (GEM)53°37°0%
The average54°38°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.