Minority Report

Superior, MT — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Mineral County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 62°   Low 42°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—37°0%
US model (GFS)60°46°0%
European model (ECMWF)64°38°0%
German model (ICON)64°43°0%
Canadian model (GEM)59°45°0%
The average62°42°0%

Friday, November 13

High 59°   Low 41°   Rain 6%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 12°, rain spread 30 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 30% against a group average of 6%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°36°30%
US model (GFS)64°48°2%
European model (ECMWF)61°37°0%
German model (ICON)60°43°0%
Canadian model (GEM)57°44°0%
The average59°41°6%

Saturday, November 14

High 50°   Low 37°   Rain 39%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 54 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 77% against a group average of 39%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°33°30%
US model (GFS)51°38°23%
European model (ECMWF)52°36°25%
German model (ICON)51°41°40%
Canadian model (GEM)50°35°77%
The average50°37°39%

Sunday, November 15

High 53°   Low 35°   Rain 22%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 11°, rain spread 41 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 46% against a group average of 22%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°37°46%
US model (GFS)56°35°5%
European model (ECMWF)58°34°27%
German model (ICON)55°38°5%
Canadian model (GEM)47°32°29%
The average53°35°22%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.