Minority Report

Surry, VA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Surry County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 71°   Low 47°   Rain 12%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 6 points, 3 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—41°10%
US model (GFS)72°48°16%
German model (ICON)70°50°13%
Canadian model (GEM)72°47°10%
The average71°47°12%

Friday, November 13

High 55°   Low 39°   Rain 4%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 4 points, 4 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service57°33°5%
US model (GFS)55°39°1%
German model (ICON)53°41°5%
Canadian model (GEM)55°42°5%
The average55°39°4%

Saturday, November 14

High 52°   Low 34°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 3 points, 4 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°33°0%
US model (GFS)52°33°1%
German model (ICON)51°36°3%
Canadian model (GEM)51°36°0%
The average52°34°1%

Sunday, November 15

High 55°   Low 36°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°31°0%
US model (GFS)54°34°0%
German model (ICON)56°37°0%
Canadian model (GEM)53°41°0%
The average55°36°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.