Minority Report

Susanville, CA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Lassen County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 61°   Low 34°   Rain 6%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 9°, rain spread 30 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 30% against a group average of 6%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—35°30%
US model (GFS)64°34°1%
European model (ECMWF)63°37°0%
German model (ICON)63°36°0%
Canadian model (GEM)55°28°0%
The average61°34°6%

Friday, November 13

High 49°   Low 34°   Rain 100%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°29°98%
US model (GFS)50°36°100%
European model (ECMWF)45°37°100%
German model (ICON)49°35°100%
Canadian model (GEM)48°32°100%
The average49°34°100%

Saturday, November 14

High 48°   Low 33°   Rain 8%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 16 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 19% against a group average of 8%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°26°7%
US model (GFS)44°36°19%
European model (ECMWF)47°35°6%
German model (ICON)49°36°3%
Canadian model (GEM)49°35°5%
The average48°33°8%

Sunday, November 15

High 50°   Low 33°   Rain 81%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 9°, rain spread 30 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 60% against a group average of 81%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°31°89%
US model (GFS)50°34°80%
European model (ECMWF)45°34°90%
German model (ICON)46°38°85%
Canadian model (GEM)55°30°60%
The average50°33°81%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.