Minority Report

Sutton, WV — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Braxton County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 52°   Low 41°   Rain 91%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 27 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 73% against a group average of 91%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—32°73%
US model (GFS)51°43°82%
European model (ECMWF)52°44°100%
German model (ICON)53°42°100%
Canadian model (GEM)51°44°100%
The average52°41°91%

Friday, November 13

High 46°   Low 35°   Rain 73%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 70 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 30% against a group average of 73%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°29°30%
US model (GFS)44°34°61%
European model (ECMWF)48°37°90%
German model (ICON)45°37°83%
Canadian model (GEM)47°39°100%
The average46°35°73%

Saturday, November 14

High 44°   Low 33°   Rain 32%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 81 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 87% against a group average of 32%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°29°22%
US model (GFS)43°34°11%
European model (ECMWF)46°33°6%
German model (ICON)44°34°35%
Canadian model (GEM)41°35°87%
The average44°33°32%

Sunday, November 15

High 46°   Low 34°   Rain 16%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 61 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 62% against a group average of 16%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°30°6%
US model (GFS)46°38°1%
European model (ECMWF)46°37°4%
German model (ICON)47°34°8%
Canadian model (GEM)44°33°62%
The average46°34°16%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.