Minority Report

Swanquarter, NC — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Hyde County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 71°   Low 52°   Rain 14%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 36 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 38% against a group average of 14%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—45°17%
US model (GFS)72°52°38%
European model (ECMWF)71°56°2%
German model (ICON)72°56°5%
Canadian model (GEM)69°53°10%
The average71°52°14%

Friday, November 13

High 59°   Low 45°   Rain 4%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 15 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 15% against a group average of 4%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service62°39°15%
US model (GFS)58°44°2%
European model (ECMWF)58°48°0%
German model (ICON)58°48°5%
Canadian model (GEM)58°46°0%
The average59°45°4%

Saturday, November 14

High 54°   Low 39°   Rain 2%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 9 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service57°37°0%
US model (GFS)53°36°9%
European model (ECMWF)52°43°0%
German model (ICON)53°40°3%
Canadian model (GEM)53°40°0%
The average54°39°2%

Sunday, November 15

High 55°   Low 38°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service58°39°0%
US model (GFS)55°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)54°40°0%
German model (ICON)56°38°0%
Canadian model (GEM)54°42°0%
The average55°38°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.