Minority Report

Sweetwater, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Nolan County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 74°   Low 47°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—50°0%
US model (GFS)75°48°0%
European model (ECMWF)72°49°0%
German model (ICON)73°44°0%
Canadian model (GEM)74°44°0%
The average74°47°0%

Friday, November 13

High 70°   Low 49°   Rain 1%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 4 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service70°51°4%
US model (GFS)73°48°0%
European model (ECMWF)69°49°0%
German model (ICON)66°48°0%
Canadian model (GEM)73°47°0%
The average70°49°1%

Saturday, November 14

High 61°   Low 50°   Rain 78%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 31 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 96% against a group average of 78%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service60°53°79%
US model (GFS)61°46°65%
European model (ECMWF)63°51°96%
German model (ICON)58°50°82%
Canadian model (GEM)64°49°67%
The average61°50°78%

Sunday, November 15

High 63°   Low 45°   Rain 54%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 9°, rain spread 54 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 82% against a group average of 54%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service61°45°28%
US model (GFS)70°48°64%
European model (ECMWF)61°46°82%
German model (ICON)61°44°40%
Canadian model (GEM)64°41°57%
The average63°45°54%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.