Minority Report

Syracuse, KS — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Hamilton County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 71°   Low 36°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—36°0%
US model (GFS)72°35°0%
European model (ECMWF)70°38°0%
German model (ICON)71°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)72°37°0%
The average71°36°0%

Friday, November 13

High 57°   Low 37°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 6 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service59°37°6%
US model (GFS)56°37°0%
European model (ECMWF)57°38°0%
German model (ICON)54°40°0%
Canadian model (GEM)59°32°0%
The average57°37°1%

Saturday, November 14

High 48°   Low 38°   Rain 89%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 9°, rain spread 20 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 100% against a group average of 89%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°36°91%
US model (GFS)50°34°87%
European model (ECMWF)47°40°100%
German model (ICON)48°40°80%
Canadian model (GEM)43°38°86%
The average48°38°89%

Sunday, November 15

High 45°   Low 39°   Rain 62%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 75 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 12% against a group average of 62%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°34°12%
US model (GFS)44°42°49%
European model (ECMWF)47°40°85%
German model (ICON)43°41°78%
Canadian model (GEM)44°38°87%
The average45°39°62%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.