Minority Report

Tacoma, WA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Pierce County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 58°   Low 49°   Rain 11%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 0°, rain spread 42 points, 3 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 42% against a group average of 11%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—50°42%
US model (GFS)58°48°3%
German model (ICON)58°48°0%
Canadian model (GEM)58°50°0%
The average58°49°11%

Friday, November 13

High 55°   Low 48°   Rain 66%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 17 points, 4 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service57°49°62%
US model (GFS)54°46°58%
German model (ICON)55°47°75%
Canadian model (GEM)54°50°71%
The average55°48°66%

Saturday, November 14

High 57°   Low 49°   Rain 86%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 1°, rain spread 27 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 67% against a group average of 86%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service57°51°94%
US model (GFS)57°46°92%
German model (ICON)57°48°90%
Canadian model (GEM)58°49°67%
The average57°49°86%

Sunday, November 15

High 55°   Low 45°   Rain 97%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 8 points, 4 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°45°97%
US model (GFS)54°47°92%
German model (ICON)53°44°100%
Canadian model (GEM)57°44°100%
The average55°45°97%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.