Minority Report

Tahlequah, OK — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Cherokee County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 64°   Low 41°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—32°1%
US model (GFS)66°44°0%
European model (ECMWF)63°43°0%
German model (ICON)64°41°0%
Canadian model (GEM)64°46°0%
The average64°41°0%

Friday, November 13

High 53°   Low 33°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°30°0%
US model (GFS)52°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)52°36°0%
German model (ICON)53°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)53°37°0%
The average53°33°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 54°   Low 32°   Rain 3%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 11 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°36°11%
US model (GFS)55°29°1%
European model (ECMWF)53°35°1%
German model (ICON)55°26°0%
Canadian model (GEM)54°32°1%
The average54°32°3%

Sunday, November 15

High 48°   Low 40°   Rain 47%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 34 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 71% against a group average of 47%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°35°39%
US model (GFS)50°44°40%
European model (ECMWF)48°42°47%
German model (ICON)45°42°37%
Canadian model (GEM)45°40°71%
The average48°40°47%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.